Timeline

On the eve of the 2020 election it’s fitting that we look at the present through the lens of the past

Countdown to 2022

A Blue Wave is Coming!

Trump’s Nuclear Summit with North Korea Canceled

Just two weeks before this Trump was touting his nuclear disarmament deal with Kim Jung Un ahead of the 2018 congressional elections. Here we’re told that the summit in which the leaders were expected to sign an agreement is canceled.

Trump never intended this to be a diplomatic initiative. Rather it was an “and the kitchen sink” move orchestrated by Putin to give Trump a decisive “win” before the inevitable day of reckoning in the Russia probe. Think. Kim does an abrupt about face on nuclear disarmament AND reunification shortly after meetings with Russia and China, reversing decades old policy. Kim credits fear of strongman Trump as the catalyst (laughable) and South Korea stops just short of nominating Trump for the Nobel peace prize (even funnier). Ideally these developments would have occurred after Trump’s meeting with Kim but the Cohen, Daniels and Cambridge Analytica scandals and the Mueller investigation are rapidly approaching crisis-level (for Trump). So fast forward: the outcomes of planned negotiations are announced before the negotiations themselves. But this does not have the desired effect so Putin out of disgust or capriciousness abandons the move and looks to his always-intended interference in our next elections to achieve his goal of 2 to 6 more years of his proxy President. Trump, set adrift with no (Putin) playbook, calls off the summit. Kim, at worse, loses out on Putin’s promised reward. Better, in his role of victim of an unpredictable Goliath, he gets a few sympathy points where they matter. China, in a win-win position either way, shrugs and exits stage left with the ZTE concession and the upper hand in the trade war. The South Korea leader, now more popular than ever at home and abroad, sighs at the lost of what could have been. The United States to the rest of the world looks like the indecisive and untrustworthy bungler we are under Trump. Meanwhile counting down to November, State has spent $0 of $120M allocated to protect the upcoming elections.

 

Trump Outmaneuvered by Kim Jong

Trump praises himself as a deal maker extraordinaire but was easily manipulated by Kim Jong Un. If it seems like a lifetime ago when Trump was praising Kim and Abe was saying Trump should be nominated for a Nobel peace prize for brokering North Korea’s nuclear disarmament, it was, in Trump years at least. Another lie. Another distraction. Another promise not kept.

Neither Trump nor Kim Jong Un nor South Korea are the architect or puppet master in this political soap opera. Putin is – with an assist from China. Kim does an abrupt about face on nuclear disarmament and reunification shortly after meetings with Russia and China, reversing decades old policy. Kim credits fear of strongman Trump as the catalyst and South Korea stops just short of nominating Trump for the Nobel peace prize. Ideally these developments would have occurred after Trump’s meeting with Kim but developments in the Cohen, Daniels and Cambridge Analytica scandals and the Mueller investigation are rapidly approaching crisis-level (for Trump). So in a pre-emptive move the outcomes of planned negotiations are announced before the negotiations themselves. What Putin promised Kim or threatened him with or both I don’t know. China got a reversal on ZTE for starters. South Korea gets peaceful coexistence if not the majority position after reunification. Putin gets 2 or 6 more years of his proxy President. Why is Kim pumping the brakes now? 1) He realizes that Trump will be out before Putin delivers on his promised reward or threatened retribution. Or 2) Putin is dictating Kim’s back and forth to put more pressure on Trump to deliver on his demands. Or 3) Putin is abandoning Trump to his fate.

Trump Chooses Impulse Over Strategy With Mueller Probe.

When anyone says that Trump chooses impulse over strategy they don’t realize that impulse is a strategy.

Our preoccupation with what Trump meant and what Trump will do next is exactly what Trump intends. Characterizing Trump’s ‘actions’ as impulse over strategy misses the obvious: behaving impulsively is his strategy. The only question then is “strategy for what?” War with Syria, a trade war with China, sending troops to the border, a third reich style military parade in DC and the kitchen sink are all the calculated distractions of an increasingly desperate and therefore an increasingly dangerous man. Nothing is off the table for Trump if it will put an end to Mueller’s investigation. Redirecting our attention from the bonfire in front of us (The Investigation) to the campfire (he started) behind us is his intent. Every action, every tweet, every WH leak is calculated to galvanize support for Trump’s direct or indirect firing of Mueller. He will take his chances with the much-exaggerated “constitutional crisis” that many say will result. He may escape tbe consequences of his crimes if he fires Mueller. He won’t if Mueller completes his investigation.

Michael Cohen Raid and Trump Meltdown

I thought Trump finally met his match in Robert Mueller, a man committed to the rule of law who could not be bribed, extorted or intimidated by Trump or Russia.  The media presented Mueller as a morally upright, if low key, by the book guy.  We had high hopes for the Mueller probe.  But the “good” guy proved a victim of his own “goodness”. He thought that Trump would be bound by some version of the rule of law. A grievous error.  Instead, Trump refused to allow government officials to testify, wouldn’t appear in person, subverted the AG’s office, bullied the GOP into a not just sham but non-existent trial.  Mueller didn’t release his report directly to the public so we got our first distorted taste of the report from Trump’s AG. In any statement about the probe or his findings, he parsed his words almost to the point of silence.  He had one job for two years and he blew it.

Read More

Trump Imposes Sanctions On Russians Finally

Trump delayed sanctions against Russia for as long as possible before imposing modest-billed-as-sweeping sanctions.  A post lessater post less than a year after this one, I Less than a year later he lifted the sanctions.  So fearful is Trump of Putin that it has been two months since it was first reported that Russia paid Taliban a bounty for each American and coalition forces killed and Trump has yet to ask Putin about this.
__________________________________________
Absent from the by-name list of Russian perpetrators for obvious reasons is the kingpin who orchestrated it all: Putin. And what does it say about our resolve to punish Russia for interfering in our Presidential election when the Administration waits 8 months after they were mandated by law to impose ”sweeping” new sanctions on the one hand and the President congratulates Putin on his own sham election win and then invites him to the WH for a “how-am-I-doing-so-far-sir” meeting on the other hand. Meanwhile the State Department has spent $0 of the $120M allotted to prevent Putin from interfering in November’s election. What a joke. If this is all we will do to protect our elections from a foreign aggressor , we don’t deserve them.